Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Is there a draft in here?


Ok, so there still isn’t too much happening on the ABL front and quite frankly the Defensive Specialist is scrambling for ideas and information to present to the loyal readers. The Defensive Specialist has the Deep in the Hole scouting staff out on the streets desperately searching for threads to pull and recently convened a meeting with the Deep in the Hole Board of Directors in the hope that someone could spit out a half-baked idea worth talking about in this forum. Alas that came to naught and had the Defensive Specialist considering withdrawing their retainers.

It got to the stage where the Defensive Specialist was considering hitting the Minor League Baseball website and searching for another prospect who’s tyres he could pump up in order to give the people something to read. Then it hit the Defensive Specialist! As is often the case, inspiration struck at the oddest time – on the toilet.

With information so scarce at the moment, the Defensive Specialist thought that today was the day to get radical and turn things on their head a little bit. We all know that local guys will play for their local teams but what if every player got tossed into a pot and general managers could draft their team fantasy style? It has kind of happened in recent years when teams were able to snap up players out of Canberra (with the Heat and South Australia hitting pay dirt by scooping up the likes of Nick Kimpton and Michael Collins who have been major contributors to both franchises).

So today the Defensive Specialist is going to try and determine the top 10 players in the league and the order in which they would likely be selected if a draft were to be held. The ultimate goal here is to figure out which player general managers would select to be the cornerstone of a team.

It’s important to set a few parameters and rules. 
  • The Defensive Specialist is assuming that each player is available for 100% of the ABL season. Often professional pitchers will be shut down for part of the off-season. For this exercise, we are assuming that all players are free to play the entire season.
  • The likes of Ryan Rowland-Smith, Grant Balfour and Peter Moylan will not commit to a full season (if at all).
  • The Defensive Specialist is only going to count down from 10 (although would be more than happy to open this up to building a full team if 4 other suitably knowledgeable pseudo General Managers would be interested and available to sit at the Deep in the Hole conference table and bang out a full draft) since the project could take about 3 weeks if the Defensive Specialist tried to assemble an entire squad.
  • The Defensive Specialist is evaluating overall value to the team based on past performance and projected output in the coming season.
  • Players do not have to be professionals. 

So lets get the draft started. The Defensive Specialist is going to work in reverse order from 10 – 1 with rationale to follow.

Narrowly missing the top 10 – Joel Naughton, Stefan Welch, Josh Spence, Brendan Wise, Travis Blackley, Drew Naylor.

The Defensive Specialist asked Mrs Defensive Specialist her thoughts and her unequivocal response – Techno Tim Auty.
Moving right along.

10 – With the 10th selection in the inaugural Deep in the Hole talent draft, the Defensive Specialist selects….. Paul Mildren. With Mildren you get a left-handed staff ace with a proven track record at the Claxton Shield and professional level. Mildren gobbles up innings and provides his team with a genuine opportunity at a win. Unfortunately, you can only use him once per series, which in the Defensive Specialist’s opinion lessens his value. Would you prefer one quality outing per series or an impact bat? The Defensive Specialist knew you’d see his point of view.
9. With the 9th selection in the inaugural Deep in the Hole talent draft, the Defensive Specialist selects…..Liam Hendriks. Once again, the Defensive Specialist is loathe to put a pitcher so high on the list but Hendriks has a live arm and has shown that he has what it takes to deal on the Claxton Shield level. Hendriks possesses a fastball that jumps at hitters and has shown plus control which keeps runners off base and reduces the risk of damage. Hendriks also scores points for his elaborate entrances on and off the field with a convoluted hop, skip and a jump technique for getting over the base lines.
8. With the 8th selection in the inaugural Deep in the Hole talent draft, the Defensive Specialist selects…..Tim Cox. Arguably the most dominant starter in the league over the past couple of seasons, Cox provides a staff ace who can be relied upon to keep his ballclub in the contest. Cox’s repertoire includes a sneaky fastball and a dirty change up that enables him to keep line ups off balance. 
7. With the 7th selection in the inaugural Deep in the Hole talent draft, the Defensive Specialist selects…..Mitch Denning. Readers of Deep in the Hole will be well aware of the Defensive Specialist’s man crush with Denning’s swing. It’s just very pretty. Denning had a monster year in 2009/2010 hitting .391 while hitting in the middle of the NSW lineup. His value lies in what is to come – to the Defensive Specialist astute eye he is continuing to develop and with more experience his power should blossom and he will grow into a feared slugger.

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6. With the 6th selection in the inaugural Deep in the Hole talent draft, the Defensive Specialist selects….. Nick Kimpton. Kimpton set the league on fire during the 2008/2009 season putting up ridiculous numbers while winning the Helms Award as the most valuable player. Kimpton’s game has been unbelievably consistent over the past 2 seasons both offensively and defensively although his numbers did drop somewhat in 2010. His ability to hit high in the order and man centrefield makes him all the more appealing to the Defensive Specialist.
5. With the 5th selection in the inaugural Deep in the Hole talent draft, the Defensive Specialist selects….. Tim Kennelly. The Perth Heat slugger blossomed into a legitimate run producer in 2009 / 2010, anchoring the heart of the Perth order and providing a presence. Kennelly played most of his Australian baseball in rightfield where he demonstrated an above average arm. In the professional ranks he spends time behind the dish which in the Defensive Specialist’s mind makes him extremely valuable with the flexibility he provides and puts him ahead of his team mate Kimpton.
4. With the 4th selection in the inaugural Deep in the Hole talent draft, the Defensive Specialist selects…..Michael Collins. Collins took the Claxton Shield by storm last season, featuring amongst the league leaders in most offensive categories. Collins hit .417, while drilling 6 homeruns (admittedly 3 of those came in one game) and driving in 19. Collins established himself as a middle of the order masher and continued his red hot form in the professional ranks where he tore apart A ball pitching before being promoted. Offensive minded catchers are a rare commodity and much like gold, when you have a chance to get it, you don’t think twice.
3. With the 3rd selection in the inaugural Deep in the Hole talent draft, the Defensive Specialist selects…..Justin Huber. First basemen with power don’t grow on trees, so when you find one, you grab a hold with both hands. There have been some questions regarding Huber’s health and availability this season, but if he plays he is a valuable commodity in that he provides an intimidating presence in the 3 or 4 hole. Currently playing in Japan and earning about 40 million yen, Huber would be a huge pickup for any ABL franchise.
2. With the 2nd selection in the inaugural Deep in the Hole talent draft, the Defensive Specialist selects…..Trent Oeltjen. A speedy table setter at the top of your lineup can often set the tone for your ball club and Oeltjen would be a major pick up for any franchise. Oeltjen didn’t play in the 2009/ 2010 Claxton Shield competition, but fans of the game will remember the difference he can make when his game is on as the 2007 World Cup demonstrated when he went nuclear and hit .523 to lead the tournament. The Defensive Specialist puts great weight in spinal defence – meaning catcher, second, short and centrefield. Oeltjen plays a solid centrefield, which enhances his Deep in the Hole value.
1. With the 1st overall selection in the inaugural Deep in the Hole talent draft, the Defensive Specialist selects…..Luke Hughes. As the Defensive Specialist sees it, any time you can find a legitimate 3 hole hitter, who commands the strike zone and has power to spare, you snap that guy up and build your team around him. Hughes has demonstrated legitimate pop and the ability to handle being the focal point of a lineup. Additional upside includes his ability to play both third and second base and to run a little bit.
So that’s the Defensive Specialist’s top 10 list and lets be honest, it’s a dandy. Of course it’s extremely subjective and the Defensive Specialist is more than happy to hear from the readers with their opinions. Hit up the inbox or the comments section with your take on the most franchise building worthy candidates. Lets just hope that something starts to happen on the ABL front so that the Defensive Specialist can stop amusing himself with these activities.

1 comment:

  1. nice work on the list however you've short changed some of the Victorian boys. We did win the Claxton Shield you realise?

    ReplyDelete