Wednesday, December 1, 2010

"A teacher affects eternity; he can never tell where his influence stops." 
- Henry Brooks Adams

Yes Henry, you’re so damn right! The Defensive Specialist has received so many emails from loyal readers offering thanks and praise for the quality of information that is flowing out of Deep in the Hole. It’s like the collective baseball community is growing in knowledge and intellect on a daily basis and judging by the comprehensive analytics used to track traffic on the blog, that knowledge is taking place in far flung regions across the globe.

Before the Defensive Specialist continues self-fellating, it’s probably wise to cast a quick eye over the fearless predictions made for each series last week:

Perth Heat Vs Adelaide Bite – the Defensive Specialist called a 3-1 result to the Happy Heaters and it looked like the Perth lads were going to turn in a 4-0 result. The Bite had other thoughts and rallied back to split the series 2-2.

Sydney Blue Sox Vs Brisbane Bandits - Your old pal went large on this one and predicted a 4-0 sweep to the Blue Sox. It didn’t play out like that at all with the teams splitting the series

Melbourne Aces Vs Canberra Multiculturalists – The season opener at the MCG was supposed to spark the Aces to a 3-1 series win. Mother nature decided she’d intervene and cut the series to 2 games of which Melbourne won both.

So, for another week, the Defensive Specialist’s tips were as useful as lockjaw at a suckers picnic. Seriously if you were laying your hard earned on the line based on the info being delivered here you’d be on the verge of having your legs broken by agitated bookies.

Since the Defensive Specialist is demonstrating no real ability to predict the future, lets examine the past and vault into the weekly installment of “What the Defensive Specialist Learnt” after the recent Sydney Vs Brisbane series.

  1. For the second week in a row, the Blue Sox have demonstrated that their once feted pitching staff has a couple of holes in it. The arms that the Sydney squad has on its roster are impressive but have not consistently delivered across a full series in back to back weeks. Wayne Lundgren has been roughed up in his last 2 outings, surrendering almost a run per inning while staff ace Chris Oxspring showed a slight speed wobble in his last start (which will fill many hitters hearts with hope). David Welch regained form with an outstanding appearance but was questionable in the 2 previous and Vaughn Harris was excellent in his first start of the year. Matt Williams got the prison shower treatment in relief on the weekend although the defense behind him did not help his cause. If the Blue Sox can put it all together they have the best staff in the league – the question is consistency.
  2. Despite evidence to the contrary, pitchers can be smart. Case in point – Alex Johnson’s performance. Numerous blogs (including this one) spent last week blowing on Johnson’s trumpet after he exploded onto the scene with ridiculous numbers to start his ABL career. All of a sudden Brisbane rolls into town after seeing him the week before and he submits a 1-12 with a double and a solitary RBI. Guys can go 1-12 where they square up everything and hit it straight at people but Johnson looked off kilter. Were the Bandits pitching him differently? Had they figured him out? Who knows, but this weekend’s series will really show whether or not he can make the necessary adjustments to get back on track and be the run producer the Blue Sox need.
  3. The Brisbane staff has some arms but a real affinity for missing the strike zone. Starters James Albury and Hiroki Yamada have both demonstrated an ability to get hitters out but their walk rates are at an unacceptable level meaning that they’re giving opponents extra outs and consistently pitching with runners on base. Yamada in particular has the ability to blow lineups away (17 k’s in 16 innings) but extend at bats by falling behind. Not only does this slow him down and perhaps affect the defense behind him but it drives up his pitch counts and limits the innings he can eat up.
  4. Yes, the Bandits dropped a 9 spot on Sydney in game 3 but offensively there are question marks. Josh Roberts has gotten off to a hot start and Shuhei Fukuda handled the bat well, but there is not one guy in the line up that puts any sort of fear into the opposing managers heart which means pitchers can go right after anyone in the lineup without fear of the long ball. Having said that, if Rory Rhodes got himself on a red meat diet and lived in a weight room he has the frame to be an absolute man-child. The youngster is 201 cms (6’7) and got down the line in a pretty good time when he dropped a drag bunt. If he can hang some muscle off his skeleton, he has the potential to hit balls that don’t come back.
  5. Speaking of cold bats, Sydney’s Mark Holland and Pat “Stone Hands’ Maat are proving to be black holes in the batting order with at bats being sucked in and lost at a level that would arouse Stephen W Hawking. Holland and Stone Hands have punched out at an alarming rate (12 & 14 in 12 & 10 games respectively) while contributing almost nothing offensively. Holland has never been known as a force with the stick and is in the lineup to provide defense so you could turn a blind eye to his anemia. Stone Hands on the other hand is a proven contributor so his offensive slumber is creating large-scale problems in the run production department because he was banked on to be a middle order force and there isn’t another bopper on the horizon ready to be plugged in (unless Trent Oeltjen makes a cameo). Stone Hands looks to have lost bat speed and as a result is gearing up earlier in order to catch up – this of course makes him susceptible to anything with a change of speed.
  6. The Bandits pen has been impressive. Chris Mowday who looks like a Metallica roadie was exceptional in relief last week and is proving to be a go to guy for manager David Nilsson. Simon Morriss, Phil Stockman and young pup Josh Warner have yet to concede a run in 18 innings of work. If the starters can get late into the game and turn a lead or close ballgame over to the pen, the Bandits would have to like their chances.
Your old pal could continue teaching but the word count is getting up and with attention spans not what they used to be, its probably better to stop the learning so that the influence remains. The Defensive Specialist will be back tomorrow night with a fresh round of unbelievably accurate predictions as well as the unveiling of the Deep in the Hole Dude of the Month.


9 comments:

  1. Full credit to the visitors last week in Sydney. The Bandits really came to play. Any team that gets out of Sydney with a split would think themselves fotunate. The rain aside, the Bandits might have flown out of here with a series win...? Consistency could be the Bandits nemesis this year. Time will tell.

    From my elevated view in the nosebleed section (Hilltop shoutout), the Sox have to get consistent in the middle of their lineup. The 4,5,6 holes will have to get it done. Williams looks like playing the hot sticks out of the 5,6 odd guys he has on the roster that fit the bill. The big guys don't like feeling undervalued, but fortunately for Williams & the Sox, they crave the attention more (let the battle begin). With Denning & the possible activation of Oeltjen at some point in the year heading up the lineup, these guys are going to set the table every day out, putting the pressure squarely on the boppers to produce.

    Maat won't be far away from getting hot, he never met a fastball he couldn't turn around when he gets in a groove. The shift the Bandits deployed over the last Sox home stand seemed to effect Johnson at the plate, he'll adjust to that when he works out he can't control it. watch the Boss man hit 250+ with 15-20 doubles, throw Graham, Moko Moanaroa and D'Antonio into the battle for those middle spots. they're going to provide plenty of protection for each other whilst grabbing those steaks being served up in bluetown.

    Go Sox.

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  2. Things must be getting pretty desperate when the blogger has to submit his own comments. And how many people do you know, Stuart, who create a 'Hall of Fame' Team and then puts himself in it? And did you award yourself the golden glove? Your parody of Dave Nilsson's weight was not the least bit funny. Go back to writing for Cars Guide. Reckon <12 hours before you delete (or edit) this comment.

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  3. Do you ever have anything constructive to contribute? Take a trip to the hardware store and see if you can find something for that chip on your shoulder.

    After the first few weeks of the season will the ABL teams start to look for further imports to address holes in their roster? I can see Perth needing a bit more help in the middle infield and another starter.

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  4. Hey Hater, thanks for the props on my comment. Being compared to the DSpec makes me feel like maybe even i, could 1 day, complete the back end of the DP when dspec ranges deep in the hole.... it was the hilltop reference, wasn't it...? Sorry to disapoint you. I guess the baseball vernacular was just a bit much for ya champ.

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  5. Mr Anon, The hater.

    It is quite obvious that the first Anon is from the central coast region of NSW hence and not my old mate the DS, the support of Pat Maat and the Moanaroa brothers proves this. Yes all three have some talent but Maat has clearly gone off the rails and the bro's while very dangerous are far far too inconsistent. Nobody with any baseball intelligence would try to ride those three horses too far. Why would a bloke from Perth who has only ever stopped in on the central coast on the way back from wine tasting in the hunter valley be singing their praises? You should probably check your hatred at the door champ.

    Now that that's out of the way, on to the issue of the Bluesox pitching, while at the moment it may not be quite what was expected I have no doubt that down the stretch it will be the most dominant staff in the league. Oxspring has been lights out so far and I would expect that to continue. Lundgren (last years helms award winner) has been shaky early on but history tells us that the guy is a stud who wins more than he loses and can chew up a whole bunch of innings. Anderson will soon return from his honeymoon and frustrate the hell out of both righties and lefties that can't stay back and wait for his outstanding offspeed stuff to get to the plate. When you add to that three the likes of Thomas, Rowland-Smith and Tippet who are yet to return you have a quality start nine times out of ten. Lets not forget that one or two of them would be in the pen (as would Welch) add Koo to that and the sox are strong from innings one to nine. The only question left is why is Shane Benson not playing a bigger part out of the pen? he is a Strike throwing machine and his fastball really jumps on hitters. Once they have everybody on deck the Sox have an embarrasment of riches in the pitching department and it will be good to watch them destroy visiting lineups!

    If D'Antonio, Auty and Denning can get on base in front of the big boys (who WILL get hot) Oeltjen will just be a nice bit of chrome on top of the engine rather than a major cog in the machine.

    At the end of the season when the champion is decided, no matter where it is, I will be there, will you?

    GO BLUESOX!!!

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  6. Hey Anon,

    Good job having a go at a bloke who is just trying to spread the word and provide an entertaining insight into the ABL. Most people know who he is so he is not trying to hide behind anonimity, how about you? you should have the balls to put your name to your comments if you are going to bag others that have the initiative to have a go. Gutless..

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  7. I'd like the Defensive Specialist to weight in on this one...In what rule book in PROFESSIONAL baseball, can a team put a COACH on the field? I have nothing against Mike Wells; I've just never heard of allowing a coach to suit up and play. Wells was NOT on the 22 man roster, nor was he on the 35 man roster (the minor leagues). The team still has several very good position players who ARE on the roster who have not had the chance to get out on the field. Why not let them suit up and play? If the ABL really wants to be taken seriously by the world of Professional Baseball; then they really should follow the rules. You won't see this kind of thing happening in Major League Baseball! The Bite should play this series under protest!

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  8. I refer to this link:
    www.southperth.baseball.com.au/.../DEEP_IN_THE_HOLE_03192003.doc

    Defensive Specialist Hall of Fame

    Here is your hall of fame, DS (what else may it stand for?) with you at #4

    Brooks Robinson
    Ozzie Smith
    Perennial Gold Glover: Andy Henderson
    *Stuart Scott*
    Ned Kelly
    Mark Kelly
    Anne Kyle
    Rick Hughes
    Mark Doty
    Trevor Smales
    Gordon Scott
    Dryw Edwards
    Clinton Barnes

    Yes folks the DS puts himself in his own ‘Hall of Fame’.

    Tell me, Mr DS, how far did YOU go in baseball? You deride Stone Hands and Mark Holland. You bag the Boss Man and his bro. They will shine through, while you relive a career that never was. They are pro players - something that you never could be. One day they will make you look really stupid. Go on, work the phone, get your mates to respond to my comments! Now stop bagging these kids. They deserve better.

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  9. The idiot that thinks that you must not say anything negative about the players unless you have played pro ball or pro sport in general, is an idiot of the highest order..... The fans pay to see athletes play sport & have every right to pass comment, good or bad. Besides, pro athletes know it comes with the territory and they pay it little mind, if they don't they are mentally weak & no amount of talent will see them reach the lofty hights they aspire to.

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